Reality Check
August 19, 2026

META Has 20% Upside as it trades near decade lows

The price fell 26 percent since June 2025 while sales per share rose 28 percent

META currently trades at 6.15 times its trailing-twelve-month sales per share. With the stock at $546.74 and TTM sales of $88.95 a share, that multiple sits near the bottom of its ten-year range. On earnings it is the same: 20.60 times the $26.54 in trailing earnings per share, again close to decade lows.

The reason is straightforward. From mid-2025 onward the share price and the underlying business moved in opposite directions.

META price against trailing-twelve-month sales per share
Jun 2025Now
Stock Price$738.09$546.74
Sales per share$69.57$88.95
Stock Price / sales10.61×6.15×
Quarter-end closes against trailing four quarters of sales per share.

The earnings multiple shows the same pattern.

A stock can look inexpensive on sales yet expensive on earnings when margins are shrinking. That is not the case here. Earnings per share rose in step with sales, increasing 17 percent, while the earnings multiple itself fell 36 percent.

META price against trailing-twelve-month earnings per share
Sep 2025Now
Stock Price$734.38$546.74
Earnings per share$22.76$26.54
Stock Price / earnings32.27×20.60×
Quarter-end closes against trailing four quarters of earnings per share.

How today’s multiples rank against META’s own history

The table below shows where the current price-to-sales and price-to-earnings multiples rank against META’s own history over different look-back windows.

Today’s multiple against META’s own history
Stock Price / salesStock Price / earnings
Last 3 yearsCheapest of last 12 quartersCheapest of last 12 quarters
Last 5 years6th cheapest of last 20 quarters5th cheapest of last 20 quarters
Last 10 years6th cheapest of last 40 quarters6th cheapest of last 40 quarters
All time6th cheapest of 57 quarters6th cheapest of 57 quarters

18–20% Upside to Historical Multiples

From here, META would need to rise 20% to reach the middle of its own valuation range. Its median price-to-sales multiple over the past five years is 7.40 times. Applied to today’s trailing sales of $88.95 per share, that points to a price of $658.55.

The gap is narrower on the earnings side. The five-year median multiple of 24.31 times, applied to trailing earnings of $26.54 per share, implies a price of $645.16, or 18% higher than today’s level.

Note

“Cheap” in this analysis means inexpensive only relative to META’s own historical range. It does not speak to valuation versus peers or to the intrinsic value of the business. A multiple can remain low for years if the market has simply re-rated the company.

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