Do Your Homework on Every Spike Cycle
Volatility ETFs move in cycles: from an all-time low, to a spike peak, back to a new low. The Spike Analyzer tool breaks down every cycle in a vol ETF's history and shows what usually happens next.
Trading a vol or inverse ETF mid-spike without studying its history is the trading equivalent of buying a car you've never sat in. UVXY alone has 85 completed spike cycles in its history. Each one is a complete story: a fresh all-time low, a rally to some peak, a series of pullbacks along the way, and a final reset back to a new ATL. Knowing how many pullbacks the typical UVXY cycle has, how deep they tend to be, and how long the whole episode usually lasts is the difference between sizing a position with conviction and panic-clicking on every red bar.
That's what the Spike Analyzer's Cycle Analysis mode is for.
Six surfaces. The dropdown lets you flip between cycles in one click; the rest re-populates instantly.
Every cycle in the ticker's history listed with its date range and peak spike. Click to load any one, including the live cycle.
The ATL price that anchored the cycle, the date it printed, and how many trading days the cycle ran.
The cycle's high price, its peak spike off the ATL, the current spike, and the biggest single pullback.
Counts of every drawdown at seven thresholds, from 10% to 50%, so you see how many real drops the cycle absorbed.
The rally plotted from ATL through the cycle with the peak and pullbacks marked, so you see the shape, not just the count.
Every peak-to-trough event as a row: peak, trough, drop percentage, and recovery, or still down if it never bounced.
Pick a vol ETF and step through every cycle in the dropdown to build a feel for its typical peak, pullbacks, and duration.
Read the last entry in each completed cycle's Pullback Log, the drawdown that took it to a new low, to see how deep a rollover usually ends a cycle.
The pullback histogram shows how many 10%, 20%, and 30% drops a typical cycle absorbs while still climbing, so your stop is not hit by normal noise.
Run the same walkthrough on UVXY, UVIX, VXX, SQQQ and the rest. Their cycles look fundamentally different.
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