The Lab
May 23, 2026

Daily Breakdowns Tool

A Stock Just Broke Below Yesterday's Low. Now What?

A daily breakdown occurs when today's low drops below yesterday's low, a sign sellers are in control. The Daily Breakdowns tool scans the market and detects stocks that have broken down today and shows what usually happens next.

Every chart has a moment the sellers tip their hand, and the cleanest one is the daily breakdown. Today's session trades below yesterday's low. The buyers who defended that floor a day ago just let it go, and for one bar at least, supply won. No interpretation required: the low of the day printed under the low of the day before.

The folklore says a break of the prior low means more downside is coming. The honest answer is more interesting: what happens next depends on how many days in a row it has broken down, where price sits versus its short-term trend, and the ticker. A first breakdown inside a strong uptrend is not the same setup as a fourth-in-a-row breakdown on a sliding tape. The forward distribution looks completely different.

What the Tool Shows You

A live signal banner, a 45-day forward price cone, a Next Move Direction bar graph, a full sortable event log, and a watchlist scan that surfaces today's active breakdowns at a glance.

Signal

Live Breakdown Read

One glance tells you whether the stock is breaking down today and how many days in a row.

Headline

45-Day Projected Price Cone

Projects the next 45 days by applying forward returns from past similar breakdowns.

Probability

Probability Graph

How often price rose or fell by a set percentage after similar breakdowns.

Metric

A Break Below Yesterday's Low

A breakdown fires when today's low trades below yesterday's low. The tool also counts how many days in a row it has broken down.

Scan

Auto-Detection

The tool scans the market and auto-highlights stocks breaking down today.

Log

Historical Log

The Historical Log displays every past instance when the stock broke down like today.

How Traders are using the Daily Breakdowns Tool

1

Spot the breakdown

Check if any stocks on your watchlist or in the market broke down today.

2

Check the projected price

Open the 45-day price cone. It shows how price behaved after similar breakdowns in the past. This gives you a realistic view of what typically happens next instead of guessing.

3

Size the move with the bar graph

Switch to Bar Graph view and set your target price level. The bars show how often similar breakdowns reached that distance by upcoming expirations. Toggle between "By Touch" and "By Close" depending on your strategy.

4

Review the events log for context

Before acting on the signal, open the events log. Check how many historical matches exist and whether they cluster in one period. A small sample or regime-specific cluster tells you the signal may be less reliable than the percentages suggest.

Check if your favorite stock broke down today

Open Daily Breakdowns Tool

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interested in learning more about our tools.