Tool Tutorials

Daily Reversals Tutorial

Defining an Intraday Reversal

An intraday reversal is a session that changes its mind. Price moves one way off the open, reaches a turning point, then swings back through the opening price and closes on the opposite side of it.

For the session to qualify, two things have to happen:

  1. It has to travel far enough first. Price must move a minimum distance away from the open before turning around. A small wobble doesn't count.
  2. It has to close on the opposite side. The close must land on the opposite side of the opening price, not partway toward it.
the open the pivot up 4.5% down 8.5% closes below the open
Up first, then all the way back down through the open. Both halves have to happen for the day to count.

Missing either condition disqualifies the session from the reversal record.

The pivot and the handback

The turning point is called the pivot:

  • Bearish reversal: the pivot is the session high. Price runs up, then rolls over.
  • Bullish reversal: the pivot is the session low. Price drops, then rips back.

Reversal size is the handback, how far price traveled, in percent, from that pivot to where the session closed.

Reversal Size % = | (Close − Pivot) / Pivot | × 100the absolute distance from the pivot back to the close, as a percentage of the pivot

Example: $IBM

$IBM opened at $75.00 and ran up 4.52% to a session high of $78.39. That high is the pivot. From there it sold off and closed at $71.74.

Reversal Size % = | ($71.74 − $78.39) / $78.39 | × 100 = 8.48%

So $IBM gave back 8.48% from the peak and closed well below where it opened, a confirmed bearish reversal.

See today's reversals

Matching criteria

Finding past reversals of the same size

Two things have to line up for a past session to count as a match: it reversed in the same direction as today, and the size of the handback was close to today's.

Separately, the bar for what is defined as a reversal is set individually for each ticker, using its own trading history. A slow-moving index doesn't need to travel as far as a volatile stock does, so the label means the same thing no matter what ticker you're looking at.

Tool Glossary

The Basics

Intraday reversal

A session that runs away from the open in one direction, turns, and closes back on the other side of the open. Both halves have to happen for the day to count.

Pivot

The turning point of the move. On a session that runs up first it is the high; on one that drops first it is the low.

Handback

How much of the move price gives back after the pivot. On a session that ran up first, it is the fall from the high to the close.

Reversal size

The handback measured as a percentage of the pivot. It is the number the tool matches on.

Minimum travel

How far price has to get from the open before the turn counts. It is set per ticker from that name's own history, so a quiet index and a fast-moving stock are not held to the same distance.

The Readings

Matched days

The past sessions that met the same conditions you set. Every statistic the tool prints is measured from these and nothing else.

Sample

The number of matched occurrences behind a statistic. A 70% hit rate off 8 occurrences and a 70% hit rate off 400 are not the same claim. The sample is printed next to every result for that reason.