The Lab
May 30, 2026

MA Trend Persistence Tool

How Long Can a Stock Ride Its Moving Averages?

This tool helps you understand how long a stock has been trending in one direction and what usually happens next.

A trend isn't only about whether price is going up or down. It's also about how long it has been doing so. If a stock has only been above its moving average for a couple of days, the trend is still very new and not very strong yet. But if it has stayed above the same moving average for many days in a row, it shows a much more established trend, one where dips keep getting bought and the average is acting like support.

Many people assume that the longer a trend goes on, the more likely it is to reverse. In reality, it's not that simple. What happens next often depends on things like which moving average you're looking at, whether price is above or below it, how long the current streak has already lasted, and the specific stock.

This tool compares the current streak length to similar situations in the past. It helps you see whether trends of this length have usually continued or started to stall and reverse, giving you better context than just looking at the direction alone.

What the Tool Shows You

Projection

45-Day Projected Price Cone

Projects a potential price range over the next 45 days by applying historical forward returns from past similar setups.

Probability

Probability Graph

Shows how often prices rose or fell after similar setups in the past.

Scan

Auto-Detection

The tool automatically scans the market and highlights stocks with the strongest setups for the day ahead.

Log

Past Similar Setups

A full log of every past day when conditions were similar.

How Traders are using the MA Trend Persistence Tool

1

Morning Scan

Start the day by checking whether the tool is highlighting any unusual activity in your favorite stocks. This helps you quickly identify which names may be setting up for a potential move.

2

Review the Price Cone

See how price has historically behaved after similar setups. This gives you a realistic view of what typically happens next instead of relying on guesswork.

3

Size the move with the bar graph

Switch to Bar Graph view and set your target price level. The bars show how often similar setups reached that distance by upcoming expirations. Toggle between "By Touch" and "By Close" depending on your strategy.

4

Review the chart and table log for context

Review the historical matches before taking a position. Pay attention to how many comparable setups exist and whether they occurred during similar market conditions. This helps you determine how much weight to give the current signal.

Check your favorite stock's trend run today

Open MA Trend Persistence Tool

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interested in learning more about our tools.