Don't Trade Earnings Blind
The Earnings Analyzer provides historical context on how a stock has typically reacted to its earnings reports. By examining past earnings dates, it breaks down the price movement into the overnight gap, the reaction from the open to the close on the gap day, and the subsequent drift over the following days.
While many traders view earnings as inherently unpredictable in the short term, historical patterns often differ meaningfully from stock to stock. Some names consistently gap in one direction and then reverse, while others show a tendency to continue moving in the direction of the initial gap over the following sessions. Treating every earnings report the same overlooks these differences.
This tool helps traders understand post-earnings behavior by separating the reaction into distinct phases (the overnight move, the same-day response, and the multi-day drift) and by considering factors such as the direction and size of the gap. This provides more targeted context than a single blended average, allowing traders to align their approach with how the stock has historically behaved in similar situations.
Groups reactions according to the magnitude of the earnings gap, allowing small moves to be analyzed separately from large ones.
Breaks down historical reactions by whether the stock gapped up or gapped down on earnings, as the two often behave differently.
Shows how often the stock has historically gapped higher on earnings, providing a baseline probability before taking a directional view.
Measures the forward return in the days following the earnings report, highlighting any sustained momentum or reversal.
Check how often the stock has historically gapped up or down on earnings. This provides a directional bias grounded in the stock's past behavior rather than assumptions about the current report.
Compare the size of the overnight gap to the stock's reaction from the open to the close. This helps determine whether the initial move tends to continue or reverse by the end of the earnings day.
Examine the typical price movement in the days following the report. This helps decide whether any momentum is likely to persist or whether the reaction is usually complete shortly after the open.
Review reactions grouped by the magnitude of the earnings gap. This allows smaller moves to be evaluated against similar historical cases rather than being compared to much larger outliers.
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